V-Lab
Pashupati Cotspin Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026
1 Day
9,024.26
1 Week
4,221.43
1 Month
3,526.44
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 07:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 12, 2017 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3411 | 5.50*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6445 | 11.32*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3411 | -5.16*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9966 | 58.08*** |
Persistence:
0.815
Half-life:
3 days
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