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Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

13,039.58

increased by 7,863.34

1 Week

6,908.41

increased by 1,732.17

1 Month

4,785.16

decreased by 391.08

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Pakistan Aluminium Beverage ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 16, 2021 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 44 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4047
1.89*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3336
5.13***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6506
13.91***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-0.6425
-2.17**
γ21.4455
2.58***

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

44 days