V-Lab
Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
13,039.58
increased by 7,863.34
1 Week
6,908.41
increased by 1,732.17
1 Month
4,785.16
decreased by 391.08
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 16, 2021 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 44 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4047 | 1.89* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3336 | 5.13*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6506 | 13.91*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -0.6425 | -2.17** |
| γ2 | 1.4455 | 2.58*** |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
44 days
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