V-Lab
Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
10,236.09
1 Week
5,566.47
1 Month
3,793.15
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 16, 2021 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 140% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 2.05** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1023 | 5.53*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8262 | 133.17*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1429 | 4.76*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
Other Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities