V-Lab
OppFi Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
4,311.78
decreased by 657.21
1 Week
5,109.74
increased by 140.75
1 Month
4,691.79
decreased by 277.20
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 30, 2020 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 8351 trading days (~33.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 4.0142 | 2.37** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1581 | 7.28*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8418 | 38.66*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0985 | -0.58 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
8351 days
Other OppFi Inc Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Equities