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OppFi Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

4,311.78

decreased by 657.21

1 Week

5,109.74

increased by 140.75

1 Month

4,691.79

decreased by 277.20

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of OppFi Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 30, 2020 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 8351 trading days (~33.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.0142
2.37**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1581
7.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8418
38.66***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0985
-0.58

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

8351 days