V-Lab
OppFi Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
4,582.08
decreased by 371.12
1 Week
5,153.88
increased by 200.68
1 Month
4,065.39
decreased by 887.81
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 30, 2020 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 960 trading days (~3.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 332% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.30 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0299 | 2.24** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9198 | 84.60*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0992 | 7.18*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
960 days
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