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OppFi Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

4,582.08

decreased by 371.12

1 Week

5,153.88

increased by 200.68

1 Month

4,065.39

decreased by 887.81

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of OppFi Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 30, 2020 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 960 trading days (~3.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 332% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.30
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0299
2.24**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9198
84.60***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0992
7.18***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

960 days