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Oculis Holding AG Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

3,427.34

decreased by 1,275.81

1 Week

5,481.76

increased by 778.61

1 Month

5,908.84

increased by 1,205.69

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 06:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Oculis Holding AG ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 23, 2024 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 12 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2391
1.10
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3308
1.48
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6111
4.75***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-69.3629
-2.96***
γ2109.4984
3.39***
γ3-61.0703
-4.74***
γ432.8281
4.03***
γ5-9.6339
-0.78

Persistence:

0.942

Half-life:

12 days