Oculis Holding AG ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
18,032.43
increased by 15,043.60
1 Week
6,001.53
increased by 3,012.70
1 Month
3,659.20
increased by 670.37
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 07:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 23, 2024 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 32 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 32 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
μ
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3895 | 12.06*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6927 | 74.63*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2069 | -4.20*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2,178.4650 |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
32 days
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