V-Lab
Oculis Holding AG ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
3,852.20
decreased by 1,688.48
1 Week
6,561.96
increased by 1,021.28
1 Month
7,440.61
increased by 1,899.93
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 06:59 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 23, 2024 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 36 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 36 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
μ
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4501 | 14.15*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6759 | 77.22*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2897 | -5.82*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2,300.5730 |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
36 days
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