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Neurogene Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

7,393.84

increased by 1,503.55

1 Week

6,107.67

increased by 217.38

1 Month

5,214.33

decreased by 675.96

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 09:18 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Neurogene Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 7, 2014 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 237 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~237 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9154
6.36***
αARCH0.1983
17.40***
βGARCH0.7988
66.99***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0224
-1.75*

0.997

Persistence

237d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9154
6.36***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1983
17.40***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7988
66.99***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0224
-1.75*

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

237 days