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Neurogene Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

7,869.70

increased by 1,568.90

1 Week

6,528.19

increased by 227.39

1 Month

5,598.11

decreased by 702.69

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 09:18 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Neurogene Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 7, 2014 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 182 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.996, shock half-life ~182 days
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow126
αARCH0.2081
17.69***
βGARCH0.7928
72.08***
γleverage-0.0094
-0.67
λ₁tau intercept0.0000
0.00
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.9998
98.78***

0.996

Persistence

182d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2081
17.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7928
72.08***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0094
-0.67
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9998
98.78***

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

182 days