V-Lab
Neurogene Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026
1 Day
7,869.70
1 Week
6,528.19
1 Month
5,598.11
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 09:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 7, 2014 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 182 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 126 | |
| αARCH | 0.2081 | 17.69*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7928 | 72.08*** |
| γleverage | -0.0094 | -0.67 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9998 | 98.78*** |
0.996
Persistence182d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2081 | 17.69*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7928 | 72.08*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0094 | -0.67 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9998 | 98.78*** |
Persistence:
0.996
Half-life:
182 days
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