CQS New City High Yield Fund Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
3,663.31
decreased by 512.36
1 Week
4,571.39
increased by 395.72
1 Month
4,982.49
increased by 806.82
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 09:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 7, 2007 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 6.0062 | 2.24** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1724 | 7.49*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7139 | 13.27*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | 0.0518 | 3.19*** |
| γ2 | -0.0750 | -3.09*** |
Persistence:
0.886
Half-life:
6 days
Other CQS New City High Yield Fund Ltd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Closed-end Funds