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CQS New City High Yield Fund Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

3,688.47

increased by 31.17

1 Week

3,532.28

decreased by 125.02

1 Month

4,200.48

increased by 543.18

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CQS New City High Yield Fund Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 7, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.9956
2.24**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1691
7.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7179
13.48***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ10.0516
3.21***
γ2-0.0754
-3.15***

Persistence:

0.887

Half-life:

6 days