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V-Lab

CQS New City High Yield Fund Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

3,663.31

decreased by 512.36

1 Week

4,571.39

increased by 395.72

1 Month

4,982.49

increased by 806.82

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 09:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CQS New City High Yield Fund Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 7, 2007 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

6.0062
2.24**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1724
7.49***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7139
13.27***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ10.0518
3.19***
γ2-0.0750
-3.09***

Persistence:

0.886

Half-life:

6 days