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CQS New City High Yield Fund Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

3,681.45

increased by 6.71

1 Week

3,572.53

decreased by 102.21

1 Month

4,227.64

increased by 552.90

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CQS New City High Yield Fund Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 7, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1586 trading days (~6.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1457
0.98
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7087
91.11***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2904
1.02
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.3383
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0577
1.22
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9423
46.49***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1586 days