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V-Lab

Naseej International Trading Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, July 26th, 2026

1 Day

10,401.05

increased by 7,319.03

1 Week

4,808.10

increased by 1,726.08

1 Month

3,297.90

increased by 215.88

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:07 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Naseej International Trading ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 27, 2010 to Jul 23, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 42 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1759
4.74***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2364
10.64***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7472
29.49***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.3653
-0.81
γ20.3122
0.44
γ30.7090
1.45
γ4-5.0970
-2.63***
γ512.8434
2.34**
γ6-13.9282
-2.43**
γ76.9353
3.41***
γ8-2.2236
-2.13**
γ91.4242
0.97
γ10-0.2280
-0.16

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

42 days