V-Lab
Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis V Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
9,264.33
decreased by 73.74
1 Week
9,433.54
increased by 95.47
1 Month
8,578.59
decreased by 759.48
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:06 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 23, 2008 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1554 trading days (~6.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3883 | 2.28** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0456 | 5.34*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9540 | 90.51*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0190 | -0.60 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1554 days
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