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V-Lab

Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis V Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

9,264.33

decreased by 73.74

1 Week

9,433.54

increased by 95.47

1 Month

8,578.59

decreased by 759.48

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:06 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis V ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 23, 2008 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1554 trading days (~6.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3883
2.28**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0456
5.34***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9540
90.51***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0190
-0.60

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1554 days