V-Lab
Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis V ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
9,433.97
1 Week
9,776.58
1 Month
8,779.25
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:04 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 23, 2008 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 26 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 26 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 101 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0649 | 18.17*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9245 | 481.00*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0311 | -3.47*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.6822 | 24.34*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.03 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9991 | 2,548.65*** |
Persistence:
0.974
Half-life:
26 days
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