Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis V ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
10,106.32
1 Week
9,279.36
1 Month
8,295.67
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 11:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 23, 2008 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 26 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 26 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 101 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0650 | 18.18*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9244 | 480.97*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0312 | -3.47*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.7049 | 24.21*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.03 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9991 | 2,555.16*** |
Persistence:
0.974
Half-life:
26 days
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