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V-Lab

Mntn Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

5,526.76

increased by 616.80

1 Week

4,720.46

decreased by 189.50

1 Month

3,612.74

decreased by 1,297.22

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 09:41 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Mntn Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 22, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 15 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1969
6.07***
αARCH0.0919
2.72***
βGARCH0.8627
18.09***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-1.3335
-2.49**

0.955

Persistence

15d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1969
6.07***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0919
2.72***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8627
18.09***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-1.3335
-2.49**

Persistence:

0.955

Half-life:

15 days