Mntn Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026
1 Day
4,504.55
1 Week
4,097.50
1 Month
3,437.52
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 09:41 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 22, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| αARCH | 0.0681 | 2.90*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6959 | 6.27*** |
| γleverage | 0.0199 | 1.51 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 3,346.1240 |
0.774
Persistence3d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0681 | 2.90*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6959 | 6.27*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0199 | 1.51 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3,346.1240 |
Persistence:
0.774
Half-life:
3 days
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