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Megastar Foods Lim Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026

1 Day

10,006.61

increased by 4,019.32

1 Week

5,495.75

decreased by 491.54

1 Month

3,041.13

decreased by 2,946.16

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 07:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Megastar Foods Lim ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 24, 2018 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 51 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3209
4.50***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1859
7.31***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8007
21.80***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-1.8052
-3.72***
γ22.8666
5.05***
γ3-1.5645
-3.48***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

51 days