V-Lab
Megastar Foods Lim ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026
1 Day
10,276.88
1 Week
5,742.69
1 Month
3,197.39
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 07:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 24, 2018 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1707 | 0.90 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8120 | 129.84*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1707 | -0.43 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 2.50** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2789 | 2.58*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7211 | 3.43*** |
Persistence:
0.897
Half-life:
6 days
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