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Malayan Cement BHD Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

3,042.20

increased by 682.63

1 Week

2,299.36

decreased by 60.21

1 Month

2,203.82

decreased by 155.75

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 07:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Malayan Cement BHD ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 24, 1994 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 150 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.3061
3.06***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2363
14.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7591
50.81***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.1616
-0.85
γ20.4593
1.87*
γ3-0.6162
-5.59***
γ40.5653
5.28***
γ5-0.4168
-3.15***
γ60.3472
1.80*
γ7-0.2753
-1.02
γ80.1777
0.65
γ9-0.3652
-1.74*
γ100.5660
3.06***

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

150 days