V-Lab
Malayan Cement BHD Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
2,801.45
decreased by 435.32
1 Week
3,301.52
increased by 64.75
1 Month
2,683.23
decreased by 553.54
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 24, 1994 to Aug 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 183 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.9772 | 3.54*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2232 | 14.29*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7731 | 51.74*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | 0.0338 | 1.72* |
| γ2 | -0.0374 | -1.30 |
| γ3 | 0.0315 | 1.32 |
| γ4 | -0.1579 | -4.66*** |
Persistence:
0.996
Half-life:
183 days
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