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Malayan Cement BHD Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

3,051.08

decreased by 206.42

1 Week

3,256.43

decreased by 1.07

1 Month

2,580.71

decreased by 676.79

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:02 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Malayan Cement BHD ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 24, 1994 to Aug 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1073
12.81***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8876
255.72***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0102
1.31

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days