V-Lab
Malayan Cement BHD Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
3,051.08
decreased by 206.42
1 Week
3,256.43
decreased by 1.07
1 Month
2,580.71
decreased by 676.79
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 24, 1994 to Aug 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.66 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1073 | 12.81*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8876 | 255.72*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0102 | 1.31 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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