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Laxmi Goldorna House Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, November 5th, 2026

1 Day

13,301.11

increased by 5,770.88

1 Week

5,965.99

decreased by 1,564.24

1 Month

3,582.35

decreased by 3,947.88

Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 08:30 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/04/2024

to

11/04/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Laxmi Goldorna House Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 16, 2020 to Nov 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 231049 trading days (~916.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

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High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~231049 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9184
αARCH0.2377
βGARCH0.7623
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.2873

1.000

Persistence

231049d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9184
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2377
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7623
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.2873

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

231049 days