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Laxmi Goldorna House Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

10,378.11

increased by 2,316.35

1 Week

7,275.53

decreased by 786.23

1 Month

3,508.30

decreased by 4,553.46

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 07:01 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Laxmi Goldorna House Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 16, 2020 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 35% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.22
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1833
11.85***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7848
119.62***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0636
2.88***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days