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V-Lab

L1 Group Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

10,382.09

increased by 964.54

1 Week

8,792.96

decreased by 624.59

1 Month

7,820.66

decreased by 1,596.89

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 05:56 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of L1 Group Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 23, 2007 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 163 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2237
10.38***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0787
12.26***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9171
139.99***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0065
1.95*

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

163 days