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V-Lab

L1 Group Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

9,571.13

decreased by 189.13

1 Week

9,967.15

increased by 206.89

1 Month

8,379.06

decreased by 1,381.20

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 09:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of L1 Group Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 23, 2007 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 163 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2240
10.38***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0786
12.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9171
140.17***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0065
1.97**

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

163 days