V-Lab
L1 Group Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
9,047.33
1 Week
9,762.18
1 Month
8,048.37
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 09:58 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 23, 2007 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0968 | 0.14 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7913 | 16.19*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0968 | -0.07 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 8.8408 | 0.19 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0923 | 0.18 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9062 | 5.81*** |
Persistence:
0.840
Half-life:
4 days
Other L1 Group Ltd Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on International Equities