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V-Lab

L1 Group Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

9,047.33

decreased by 323.37

1 Week

9,762.18

increased by 391.48

1 Month

8,048.37

decreased by 1,322.33

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 09:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of L1 Group Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 23, 2007 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0968
0.14
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7913
16.19***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0968
-0.07
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

8.8408
0.19
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0923
0.18
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9062
5.81***

Persistence:

0.840

Half-life:

4 days