Skip to main content
V-Lab

Kofola Ceskoslovensko AS Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026

1 Day

4,604.71

decreased by 326.97

1 Week

4,879.00

decreased by 52.68

1 Month

4,878.72

decreased by 52.96

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 06:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kofola Ceskoslovensko AS ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 2, 2015 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 14 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.6356
4.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0678
3.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8838
33.37***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ10.7389
0.64
γ2-3.3349
-1.83*
γ35.1182
4.91***
γ4-3.6508
-6.51***
γ51.8687
3.23***
γ6-0.8830
-1.59
γ7-0.4369
-0.92
γ80.9217
1.69*
γ9-0.0109
-0.02

Persistence:

0.952

Half-life:

14 days