V-Lab
Jordan Telecommunications Co PSC Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, August 2nd, 2026
1 Day
150,829.90
increased by 1,919.30
1 Week
142,009.00
decreased by 6,901.60
1 Month
121,420.97
decreased by 27,489.63
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 07:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 22, 2004 to Jul 30, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 86643 trading days (~343.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.3035 | 0.00 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2443 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7557 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -3.0315 | 0.00 |
| γ2 | 4.6538 | 0.00 |
| γ3 | -2.3586 | 0.00 |
| γ4 | 0.7938 | 0.01 |
| γ5 | -0.0088 | 0.00 |
| γ6 | -0.0302 | 0.00 |
| γ7 | 0.2913 | 0.00 |
| γ8 | -2.7729 | -0.01 |
| γ9 | 4.8887 | 0.00 |
| γ10 | -0.7202 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
86643 days
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