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Jordan Telecommunications Co PSC Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, August 2nd, 2026

1 Day

150,829.90

increased by 1,919.30

1 Week

142,009.00

decreased by 6,901.60

1 Month

121,420.97

decreased by 27,489.63

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 07:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Jordan Telecommunications Co PSC ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 22, 2004 to Jul 30, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 86643 trading days (~343.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.3035
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2443
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7557
0.00
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-3.0315
0.00
γ24.6538
0.00
γ3-2.3586
0.00
γ40.7938
0.01
γ5-0.0088
0.00
γ6-0.0302
0.00
γ70.2913
0.00
γ8-2.7729
-0.01
γ94.8887
0.00
γ10-0.7202
0.00

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

86643 days