V-Lab
Jordan Telecommunications Co PSC Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, August 23rd, 2026
1 Day
251,963.70
increased by 3,760.30
1 Week
247,298.60
decreased by 904.80
1 Month
157,891.95
decreased by 90,311.45
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 07:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 22, 2004 to Aug 20, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 138629 trading days (~550.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.7880 | 0.00 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2515 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7485 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -2.6115 | 0.00 |
| γ2 | 4.1601 | 0.00 |
| γ3 | -2.2661 | 0.00 |
| γ4 | 0.7793 | 0.00 |
| γ5 | -0.0119 | 0.00 |
| γ6 | -0.0295 | 0.00 |
| γ7 | 0.2655 | 0.00 |
| γ8 | -2.8562 | 0.00 |
| γ9 | 5.6052 | 0.00 |
| γ10 | -2.3796 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
138629 days
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