V-Lab
Jordan Telecommunications Co PSC ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, September 13th, 2026
1 Day
23,134.98
1 Week
24,661.20
1 Month
60,432.77
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 08:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 22, 2004 to Sep 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 121 | |
| αARCH | 0.1867 | 2.52** |
| βGARCH | 0.6739 | 9.82*** |
| γleverage | -0.1867 | -1.10 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 10.0000 | 0.06 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0307 | 2.28** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9693 | 93.67*** |
0.767
Persistence3d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 121 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1867 | 2.52** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6739 | 9.82*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1867 | -1.10 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.06 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0307 | 2.28** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9693 | 93.67*** |
Persistence:
0.767
Half-life:
3 days
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