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V-Lab

Iware Supplychain Services Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

9,003.59

increased by 5,477.20

1 Week

4,962.17

increased by 1,435.78

1 Month

4,723.91

increased by 1,197.52

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Iware Supplychain Services ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 6, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.8818
7.71***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3055
3.75***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3844
3.08***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.8573
-1.56

Persistence:

0.690

Half-life:

2 days