Skip to main content
V-Lab

Iware Supplychain Services Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

5,471.58

decreased by 391.04

1 Week

6,287.87

increased by 425.25

1 Month

5,902.32

increased by 39.70

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 07:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Iware Supplychain Services ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 6, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.9308
7.60***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3241
3.95***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3678
3.01***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.5246
-0.75

Persistence:

0.692

Half-life:

2 days