V-Lab
Intea Fastigheter AB Publ Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026
1 Day
25,533.90
increased by 21,689.10
1 Week
8,037.78
increased by 4,192.98
1 Month
3,746.55
decreased by 98.25
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 08:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 12, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 173286 trading days (~687.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5056 | 0.00 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3396 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6604 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -2.6481 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
173286 days
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