V-Lab
Intea Fastigheter AB Publ ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026
1 Day
17,786.58
1 Week
5,942.79
1 Month
3,170.48
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 08:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 12, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 8453 trading days (~33.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 245% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 51 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1488 | 9.99*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6692 | 158.92*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.3639 | 13.34*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0338 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.9988 | 10.16*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0012 | 2.11** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
8453 days
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