Skip to main content
V-Lab

Intea Fastigheter AB Publ ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

17,786.58

increased by 14,706.02

1 Week

5,942.79

increased by 2,862.23

1 Month

3,170.48

increased by 89.92

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 08:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Intea Fastigheter AB Publ ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 12, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 8453 trading days (~33.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 245% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1488
9.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6692
158.92***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.3639
13.34***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0338
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.9988
10.16***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0012
2.11**

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

8453 days