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Inghams Group Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 13th, 2026

1 Day

4,655.93

decreased by 35.31

1 Week

4,780.21

increased by 88.97

1 Month

4,607.02

decreased by 84.22

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 13, 2026 at 07:18 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/12/2024

to

10/12/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Inghams Group Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 7, 2016 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 73 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.991, shock half-life ~73 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2364
8.00***
αARCH0.0720
8.51***
βGARCH0.9186
99.15***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0211
-2.08**

0.991

Persistence

73d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2364
8.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0720
8.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9186
99.15***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0211
-2.08**

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

73 days