Inghams Group Limited Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 13th, 2026
1 Day
5,022.32
decreased by 8.21
1 Week
5,135.12
increased by 104.59
1 Month
4,918.17
decreased by 112.36
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 13, 2026 at 07:18 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 7, 2016 to Oct 9, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 4138 trading days (~16.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~4138 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.57 |
| αARCH | 0.0607 | 3.21*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9341 | 127.57*** |
| γleverage | 0.0102 | 0.30 |
1.000
Persistence4138d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.57 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0607 | 3.21*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9341 | 127.57*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0102 | 0.30 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
4138 days
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