V-Lab
Infobeans Technologies Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 23rd, 2026
1 Day
308.23
increased by 25.43
1 Week
276.34
decreased by 6.46
1 Month
268.48
decreased by 14.32
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 23, 2026 at 07:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 11, 2017 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~693147 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.0107 | |
| αARCH | 0.1012 | |
| βGARCH | 0.8988 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.2105 |
1.000
Persistence693147d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0107 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1012 | |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8988 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.2105 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
693147 days
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