Infobeans Technologies Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026
1 Day
540.03
1 Week
511.31
1 Month
449.91
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 07:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 11, 2017 to Oct 19, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 26 | |
| αARCH | 0.1666 | 6.09*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6915 | 12.10*** |
| γleverage | -0.1571 | -2.06** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 9.7483 | 0.86 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.6236 | 6.95*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.3711 | 4.28*** |
0.780
Persistence3d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1666 | 6.09*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6915 | 12.10*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1571 | -2.06** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 9.7483 | 0.86 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.6236 | 6.95*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.3711 | 4.28*** |
Persistence:
0.780
Half-life:
3 days
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