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Huckleberry ai Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

6,781.02

decreased by 481.01

1 Week

5,981.57

decreased by 1,280.46

1 Month

4,591.66

decreased by 2,670.37

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 02:11 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Huckleberry ai Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 29, 2018 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 90 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.992, shock half-life ~90 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0444
8.31***
αARCH0.1303
10.75***
βGARCH0.8620
68.54***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0071
-0.38

0.992

Persistence

90d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0444
8.31***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1303
10.75***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8620
68.54***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0071
-0.38

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

90 days