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Huckleberry ai Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

6,634.02

decreased by 241.62

1 Week

5,830.02

decreased by 1,045.62

1 Month

4,796.97

decreased by 2,078.67

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 02:11 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Huckleberry ai Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 29, 2018 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2630 trading days (~10.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 122% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~2630 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 122% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.62
αARCH0.0636
4.04***
βGARCH0.8973
95.03***
γleverage0.0777
2.75***

1.000

Persistence

2630d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.62
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0636
4.04***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8973
95.03***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0777
2.75***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

2630 days