Huckleberry ai Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026
1 Day
6,634.02
decreased by 241.62
1 Week
5,830.02
decreased by 1,045.62
1 Month
4,796.97
decreased by 2,078.67
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 02:11 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 29, 2018 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2630 trading days (~10.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 122% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~2630 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 122% more after negative returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.62 |
| αARCH | 0.0636 | 4.04*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8973 | 95.03*** |
| γleverage | 0.0777 | 2.75*** |
1.000
Persistence2630d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.62 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0636 | 4.04*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8973 | 95.03*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0777 | 2.75*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
2630 days
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