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Horizon Technology Finance Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

4,356.16

increased by 54.84

1 Week

4,793.94

increased by 492.62

1 Month

5,804.17

increased by 1,502.85

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 09:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Horizon Technology Finance Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 29, 2010 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 22 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.4454
11.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1502
13.87***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8192
59.63***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0075
-2.91***

Persistence:

0.969

Half-life:

22 days