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Horizon Technology Finance Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

4,571.02

increased by 49.19

1 Week

5,021.41

increased by 499.58

1 Month

6,049.31

increased by 1,527.48

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 09:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Horizon Technology Finance Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 29, 2010 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1527
15.04***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8190
66.55***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1527
-5.35***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9991
307.79***

Persistence:

0.895

Half-life:

6 days