Skip to main content
V-Lab

Hong Leong Financial Group Bhd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 8th, 2026

1 Day

6,857.57

decreased by 224.34

1 Week

5,883.53

decreased by 1,198.38

1 Month

4,976.65

decreased by 2,105.26

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 8, 2026 at 10:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hong Leong Financial Group Bhd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 402 trading days (~1.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1961
3.11***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1753
10.49***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8230
60.60***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.1240
0.42
γ2-0.2680
-0.82
γ30.1138
0.87
γ40.2016
1.36
γ5-0.4326
-1.89*
γ60.4228
1.60
γ7-0.2020
-0.98
γ80.0803
0.48
γ9-0.1029
-0.70
γ100.1614
1.14

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

402 days