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Hong Leong Financial Group Bhd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

4,373.99

decreased by 81.25

1 Week

5,459.21

increased by 1,003.97

1 Month

6,867.54

increased by 2,412.30

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 07:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hong Leong Financial Group Bhd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 273 trading days (~1.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2457
3.59***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1741
10.70***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8234
61.46***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ10.0748
0.50
γ2-0.2349
-1.30
γ30.3316
2.74***
γ4-0.3455
-2.20**
γ50.2541
1.79*
γ6-0.0738
-0.84
γ7-0.0306
-0.54
γ80.0639
0.81

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

273 days