Hong Leong Financial Group Bhd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 8th, 2026
1 Day
6,857.57
decreased by 224.34
1 Week
5,883.53
decreased by 1,198.38
1 Month
4,976.65
decreased by 2,105.26
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 8, 2026 at 10:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 402 trading days (~1.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1961 | 3.11*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1753 | 10.49*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8230 | 60.60*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | 0.1240 | 0.42 |
| γ2 | -0.2680 | -0.82 |
| γ3 | 0.1138 | 0.87 |
| γ4 | 0.2016 | 1.36 |
| γ5 | -0.4326 | -1.89* |
| γ6 | 0.4228 | 1.60 |
| γ7 | -0.2020 | -0.98 |
| γ8 | 0.0803 | 0.48 |
| γ9 | -0.1029 | -0.70 |
| γ10 | 0.1614 | 1.14 |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
402 days
Other Hong Leong Financial Group Bhd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities