Hong Leong Financial Group Bhd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 8th, 2026
1 Day
6,894.96
1 Week
5,856.06
1 Month
4,866.71
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 8, 2026 at 10:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2008 | 0.86 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7735 | 31.10*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1508 | -0.31 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 7.04*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0631 | 4.40*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9369 | 16.13*** |
Persistence:
0.899
Half-life:
6 days
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