V-Lab
Hiab Oyj Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
4,436.58
decreased by 193.62
1 Week
4,507.01
decreased by 123.19
1 Month
4,763.57
increased by 133.37
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 06:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 1, 2005 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 84 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4072 | 8.16*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0770 | 12.55*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9148 | 133.10*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0021 | -1.10 |
Persistence:
0.992
Half-life:
84 days
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