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V-Lab

Hiab Oyj Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

4,436.58

decreased by 193.62

1 Week

4,507.01

decreased by 123.19

1 Month

4,763.57

increased by 133.37

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 06:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hiab Oyj ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 1, 2005 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 84 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4072
8.16***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0770
12.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9148
133.10***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0021
-1.10

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

84 days