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Hiab Oyj Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

4,345.21

decreased by 78.56

1 Week

4,501.48

increased by 77.71

1 Month

4,869.54

increased by 445.77

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 06:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hiab Oyj ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 1, 2005 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1593 trading days (~6.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 144% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
2.71***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0328
16.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9432
781.44***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0472
11.09***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1593 days