V-Lab
Hiab Oyj Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
4,345.21
decreased by 78.56
1 Week
4,501.48
increased by 77.71
1 Month
4,869.54
increased by 445.77
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 06:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 1, 2005 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1593 trading days (~6.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 144% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 2.71*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0328 | 16.58*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9432 | 781.44*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0472 | 11.09*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1593 days
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