V-Lab
Hcl Infosystems Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
4,047.61
decreased by 647.91
1 Week
5,135.30
increased by 439.78
1 Month
5,916.11
increased by 1,220.59
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 10:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 26, 1997 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2357 trading days (~9.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1267 | 4.35*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2315 | 19.97*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7682 | 65.95*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | 0.0185 | 0.27 |
| γ2 | -0.0687 | -0.75 |
| γ3 | 0.1043 | 2.89*** |
| γ4 | -0.0635 | -1.97** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
2357 days
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