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Hcl Infosystems Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

3,550.50

decreased by 628.07

1 Week

4,490.37

increased by 311.80

1 Month

5,300.26

increased by 1,121.69

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 10:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Hcl Infosystems Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 26, 1997 to Aug 28, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 977 trading days (~3.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 64% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2217
19.37***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7063
50.93***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1425
6.18***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.13
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

1.0000
38.43***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

977 days