V-Lab
Hcl Infosystems Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
3,550.50
1 Week
4,490.37
1 Month
5,300.26
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 10:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 26, 1997 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 977 trading days (~3.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 64% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2217 | 19.37*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7063 | 50.93*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1425 | 6.18*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.13 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 1.0000 | 38.43*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
977 days
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