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V-Lab

Gtv Engineering Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

4,932.28

increased by 35.02

1 Week

4,922.09

increased by 24.83

1 Month

6,521.88

increased by 1,624.62

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Gtv Engineering Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 27, 2015 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.6269
1.84*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3013
7.60***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5295
8.38***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.7240
0.28
γ2-0.0130
0.00
γ3-3.1853
-1.76*
γ4-1.8009
-0.76
γ511.3479
4.18***
γ6-8.7727
-3.94***
γ72.8935
1.44
γ8-4.7889
-1.75*
γ97.5635
2.33**
γ10-7.1476
-2.33**

Persistence:

0.831

Half-life:

4 days