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V-Lab

Gtv Engineering Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

4,626.94

decreased by 621.84

1 Week

4,531.96

decreased by 716.82

1 Month

4,417.93

decreased by 830.85

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 11:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Gtv Engineering Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 27, 2015 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.6100
1.85*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2934
7.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5358
8.50***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.8158
0.31
γ2-0.1816
-0.06
γ3-2.7823
-1.44
γ4-2.6288
-1.04
γ511.8136
4.20***
γ6-8.4836
-3.61***
γ72.8989
1.22
γ8-5.3946
-1.79*
γ97.8264
2.63***
γ10-6.4864
-2.59***

Persistence:

0.829

Half-life:

4 days