V-Lab
Gtv Engineering Limited ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
5,895.24
1 Week
5,589.85
1 Month
7,180.95
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 27, 2015 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1966 | 0.26 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6726 | 99.47*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1966 | -0.13 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.26 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 1.0000 | 0.26 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.771
Half-life:
3 days
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