V-Lab
Gorilla Techno Gro Inc -Redh Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026
1 Day
2,816.52
increased by 846.69
1 Week
2,658.10
increased by 688.27
1 Month
3,135.68
increased by 1,165.85
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 9, 2021 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 123 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.994, shock half-life ~123 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.3570 | 1.62 |
| αARCH | 0.2751 | 5.62*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7193 | 14.46*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | -25.2662 | -5.38*** |
| γ2 | 33.2534 | 4.09*** |
| γ3 | -20.9261 | -2.41** |
| γ4 | 26.8973 | 2.71*** |
| γ5 | -19.1756 | -2.18** |
| γ6 | 0.6550 | 0.08 |
| γ7 | 12.3097 | 1.61 |
| γ8 | -9.3277 | -1.48 |
| γ9 | -1.8606 | -0.24 |
0.994
Persistence123d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3570 | 1.62 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2751 | 5.62*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7193 | 14.46*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | -25.2662 | -5.38*** |
| γ2 | 33.2534 | 4.09*** |
| γ3 | -20.9261 | -2.41** |
| γ4 | 26.8973 | 2.71*** |
| γ5 | -19.1756 | -2.18** |
| γ6 | 0.6550 | 0.08 |
| γ7 | 12.3097 | 1.61 |
| γ8 | -9.3277 | -1.48 |
| γ9 | -1.8606 | -0.24 |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
123 days
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