V-Lab
Gorilla Techno Gro Inc -Redh Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
3,073.04
decreased by 701.42
1 Week
3,229.89
decreased by 544.57
1 Month
3,397.21
decreased by 377.25
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 09:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 9, 2021 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 127 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3543 | 1.58 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2774 | 5.57*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7172 | 14.15*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | -26.0197 | -5.34*** |
| γ2 | 34.2364 | 4.04*** |
| γ3 | -21.1895 | -2.39** |
| γ4 | 26.5799 | 2.71*** |
| γ5 | -18.6618 | -2.05** |
| γ6 | 0.8721 | 0.10 |
| γ7 | 10.7304 | 1.45 |
| γ8 | -6.4622 | -1.09 |
| γ9 | -4.3437 | -0.51 |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
127 days
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