V-Lab
Gorilla Techno Gro Inc -Redh Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
2,273.89
decreased by 124.14
1 Week
2,096.24
decreased by 301.79
1 Month
1,749.50
decreased by 648.53
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 9, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.71 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1584 | 5.71*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8584 | 117.95*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0336 | -0.97 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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