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V-Lab

Gold Royalty Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

2,608.04

decreased by 145.51

1 Week

2,744.02

decreased by 9.53

1 Month

3,092.32

increased by 338.77

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 11:02 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Gold Royalty Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 9, 2021 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 47 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9972
5.81***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1474
6.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8380
39.67***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.2814
-5.19***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

47 days