V-Lab
Gold Royalty Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
3,175.85
1 Week
3,347.17
1 Month
3,538.50
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 11:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 9, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0970 | 0.16 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7112 | 5.42*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0970 | -0.07 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.15 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.5138 | 0.93 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.4862 | 0.17 |
Persistence:
0.760
Half-life:
3 days
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